Gold: Where and Where Will It be...?

Gold: Where and Where Will It be...?

In the corporate world, a position just is not very important compared with its trend. For example, you have the basic food stalls and a turnover in 2011 was Rp 50 million, this figure can not be to explain your performance is good or bad. These new figures mean something when for example compared with the previous year's sales. If your turnover in 2010 to Rp 25 million, it means that your performance is outstanding in 2011 increased 100%. Conversely, if your turnover in 2010 was USD 100 million, then your business is experiencing a sunset or drowning in the year 2011. Then so also in seeing the development of the gold price.  At the end of 2011 and closed the London gold price trading at U.S. $ 1,531.00 / Oz - this does not explain anything when not equipped with a comparison of the figures the previous year. From the data in Kitco.com for example did you know that gold prices closing London the previous year (2010) is $ 1,405.50, and the closure of five years earlier (2007) is U.S. $ 833.75. So the price of gold the end of 2011 actually increased about 9% over the previous year, and rose about 84% over the previous five years.  In the rupiah these figures differ because of exchange rate. End of 2011 the market price of gold in Indonesia around Rp 500.000 / g, compared with the end of 2010 approximately USD 400.000 / g and the end of 2007 approximately Rp 250,000 / g. This means that in Indonesia the price of gold has risen 25% last year and 100% in five years!.  What is the meaning of the numbers are real?, People should look at this gold in the long-term perspective. The Chinese government seems to see her this well so that the central bank continues to increase its gold stock in addition to the merekamendorong and make-do people buy gold.  Not so with other countries, by reason of his own and partly also because of lack of curiosity - other countries more inclined to encourage people to accumulate wealth in paper money - they just worry too much if people hold gold, paper currency they will fall.  This is where the real importance of the role of government, central bank and the world of the bank's gold to be able to see this from a long-term perpekstif and from the perspective of public interest / her people to survive - if the currency crisis like we experienced in 1997/1998 repeated.  Since two years ago I actually included that do not agree with the acceleration of gold purchases by the public, funded by a loan or mortgage money - if not supported by the creation of added value. But if sudden braking is now actually is not appropriate, especially when braking its decision based on the short-term perception that as the price of gold will nyungsep.  What should be done by governments, central banks and the banking world is to educate the public correctly in order to know the characters very well and this gold funsgi. They should be concerned with the economic ability of communities to play and then also able to maintain its prosperity as well - on the importance to preserve the value of paper currency which proved costly and yet steadily declining purchasing power - no matter how hard they try to defend it.  Such functions are also carried by the front Dinar in micro scale, through writing and through briefings to new agents always we remind you that make people understand far more important than making the purchase. Agents do not we charge a sales target because it's not selling gold or Dinar is our main target - but to make people understand.  Itulan www.geraidinar.com why the writing on the invites so much more to play gold or dinars to build the spirit of entrepreneurship - rather than discussing dinars or gold itself.  Writings about gold as of this writing I only made if deemed necessary to refresh the positions for the latest developments and give a broader perspective to the community.  From time to time the gold price swings like a pendulum clock. When the 6 o'clock position we take the average price, the position is the highest price at 5 and 7 o'clock position is the lowest price - then that's the price of gold - sometimes to the lowest number (a swing of the day 6 to day 7) - sometimes to the highest ( of the hour 6 to hour 5).  I present to help memahaminnya gold price chart in USD / g that I collected from nearly four years ago under. Average price to determine its position at 6-I take a moving average of 50 days or when the market called the Daily Moving Average - 50 (DMA-50) Gold Trend 2008-2012

So from a price chart and the price of the DMA-50 or less are we able to visualize where the pendulum at the moment. For now we are more or less around 6 because of the price of gold again in the range of Rp 510.000 / g which coincides with the price of DMA-50 is also in this price range.
 Recent weeks as the gold investor panic created by the gold investment, driven by (the discourse of change) in central bank policy and the world of Islamic banking - the pendulum when gold prices are again on the hour 6-7 (swing down). The times at which the blue line is below the purple line is the pendulum clock time is between 6-7 pm or vice versa, and when the blue line above the purple line is when the pendulum clock was between the hours of 6-5, or vice versa.
 As the pendulum swings at a fast-moving sequence 6-7-6-5-6-7-6-5 and so on., Then the position of this rapid movement is actually no need to panic siapapun especially if to be the basis of a policy.
 The basis of a policy must be supported by long-term perspective. From the chart above example, we know that from time to time is the price of gold continues to swing - tetapilong term trend was clearly still rising.
 Nevertheless, despite how reasonable his long-term trend in gold prices as I've also made mathematical predictions in previous posts, which is based on a formula polynomial trend in gold prices will reach above the range of Rp 1,000,000 / gram in 2015 (when your child is a class three SMP now up to grade 3 school!) - this remains a prediction, and can also be completely wrong.
 No one can see the future with 100% truth, that's why people have to understand it before they buy or invest in gold - they should be able to see the full picture of his, not the enthusiasm of a moment such as gold prices surged during August - September 2011 past, nor should sell for a moment of panic as happened tween November - December 2011 ago. Wa Allahu 'Alam.